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Yankees Will Be a Tough Out with Severino on the Hill

Yankees vs Indians Betting Odds July 12

In what could possibly be a preview of the AL Championship Series, the New York Yankees and their heavy bats head to “Believeland” to face the Indians to kick off a four-game series. The Yankees sit 3.5 games back of Boston for the AL East lead and are coming off a split series with the Orioles to push their road record to 27-18 SU in 45 games this season. New York is sending its stud Luis Severino to shut down the Indians and when he takes the mound, the Yanks are near unbeatable at 17-2 SU and 13-6 ATS in his 19 starts this season. As a result, the Indians opened as home dogs for only the third time in 2018.

  • The Yankees are 17-2 SU and 13-6 ATS in Luis Severino’s 19 starts this season.  
  • Cleveland is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home.
  • The UNDER has hit in 15 of the Yankees’ last 20 road games.

Pitching Matchup could be decided by the Bullpen

Fans of watching top-end talent on the mound will want to tune in for this matchup. The Yankees have been lights-out when 24-year-old Luis Severino gets the call as he owns a 2.65 ERA in nine road starts this season and the Yanks are 7-2 SU and ATS in those games. It certainly helps for the righty that he has a team behind him that leads MLB in home runs and is second in runs per game (5.21). Sevvie also owns a career 2.49 ERA in four starts vs the Indians so if the Yankees lose, the probability of it being on him is low.

In a rare case for Corey Kluber, this is the first time since 2013 that he has been a home underdog. The southpaw and reigning AL Cy Young winner has endured a rough stretch of games lately, allowing 18 hits and nine earned runs over his last three starts. While every ace can have a rough patch over the course of the season, the good news for Klubot is that he has been outstanding vs the Yankees in his career with a 1.80 ERA in seven career starts.

However, Kluber may need to go deep in this game if the Indians are to escape with the victory as their bullpen is an eyesore for a squad with World Series aspirations. Cleveland’s relievers are dead last in the MLB with a 5.37 ERA and have blown 11 saves this season.

Indians have made their hay at home

Cleveland may have the worst record for a division leader in MLB but it still knows how to get it done at home. The Indians are 16-6 in their last 22 games at home and 29-17 SU in 46 games overall at Progressive Field. One of the main reasons is their offense packs a punch in the form of Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez. The shortstop and third baseman have a combined 52 home runs and 127 RBIs this season and have led the Indians to be the highest-scoring offense at home at 5.14 runs per game.

When Yankees are Playing, Totals Bettors Follow

The total opened at 7 in this high-profile matchup and trends are pointing to an UNDER. The UNDER has hit in 15 of the Yankees’ last 20 road games with an average combined score of 6.9 runs per game. When you factor in that each of these starters has an ERA under 2.50, this tilt is shaping up to be a pitching duel in Ohio.