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The Cavaliers Will Be A Popular Bet In Game 2. Should You Take Them?

Jon Campbell's picture

Every conference finals series is now underway and if you’ve been watching along with us on OddsShark Live, you’ve been loving it. 

I am now 3-0-1 with my conference finals picks across the NBA and NHL and I’m red-hot in both sports. Take a look: 

Now 24-19-2 in the NHL. I’m up $491 (based on $100/gm bets)
Now 23-20 ATS in the NBA. I’m 11-4 ATS in my last 15 ATS picks. 

Know what else is hot? NHL underdogs. They’ve won six of the last seven games and are pulling in some major cash these playoffs with a profit of $970 on $100/game bets with a 33-38 record. 

Let’s try to take advantage of some more lines tonight. My picks below and more in-depth breakdowns in the video above. 

Cavs vs Celtics Pick’em, 203.5 

This line just seems like it’s begging you to take the Cavs tonight. LeBron is coming off his worst +/- performance of his career after going -32 (barf) in Game 1 and he’s 10-6 against the spread after losing Game 1 in his career. 

The line has already come down from Celtics -1 to a pick and I’ll wager the prevailing thought from the public is “there’s no way LeBron plays like that again.” James was out shooting early by himself this morning, something Cleveland dot com writer Joe Vardon said he hasn’t seen LBJ do all season long. 

I just don’t know if being determined is enough. I talked about the importance of the three-point line before Game 1 and that’s one spot the Celtics destroyed these guys. The Cavs shot 4-for-26 (15.4%) and the Celtics made 11 of 30 (36.7%). 

The Celtics also hold the huge coaching advantage with Brad Stevens and the Celtics are the much better bet. They are 24-8 against the spread as an underdog this season while the Cavs are the worst bet in the NBA from both the regular season and the playoffs. 

Pick: Celtics 

Lightning vs Capitals -120, 6 

This is a great betting spot where the first two games of this series saw a higher score than I would have anticipated and the total has remained a little inflated. The Lightning know they have to be way tougher defensively and I expect that tonight from the forwards to the defense. 

The Bolts have scored a PP goal in seven straight games but also allowed a PP goal in five straight games for a total of seven. They have to be more disciplined also so they can take advantage of their depth vs the Capitals and to prevent this game from turning into a goalfest. 

Tampa Bay got outhit 38-33 in Game 2 and outblocked in this series 39-20, which is all just not taking care of details. Those are things you can correct and I think Tampa Bay will.   

Teams that win the first two games on the road only win the third game 52.7 percent of the time and the Caps are 7-1 on the road vs 3-3 at home. Might be some more underdog value here tonight in addition to my total play. 

Pick: UNDER 6 

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