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Tampa Bay’s Dirk Koetter the New Favorite to Be First NFL Coach Fired in 2018

Head coach Dirk Koetter of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers looks on during a game against the New Orleans Saints at Raymond James Stadium on December 31, 2017 in Tampa, Florida. The Buccaneers won 31-24.

The 2018 NFL season has finally arrived, and sportsbooks are projecting which head coach will be the first to get the ax in the upcoming campaign.

At BetWay, Tampa Bay Buccaneers head coach Dirk Koetter is the +250 favorite, with Cleveland’s Hue Jackson (+350), Denver’s Vance Joseph (+650), Miami’s Adam Gase (+750), Cincinnati’s Marvin Lewis (+1600), Todd Bowles of the New York Jets (+1600), Houston’s Bill O’Brien (+2000), Washington’s Jay Gruden (+2800), Indianapolis’ Frank Reich (+3300), Dallas’ Jason Garrett (+3300), Baltimore’s John Harbaugh (+3300), Oakland’s Jon Gruden (+3300), Chicago’s Matt Nagy (+3300) and Tennessee’s Mike Vrabel (+3300) rounding out the list.

Is Jackson’s time coming to an end in Ohio?

On the heels of an 0-16 season, Jackson was occupying the hottest of hot seats, but the Browns raised eyebrows by deciding to bring him back. In his two years at the reins of the Browns, Jackson has gone 1-31. Normally that would be more than enough for a coach to lose his job, but these are the Browns we’re talking about.

The good news for Cleveland fans and bettors alike is the Browns had a surprisingly good offseason. New general manager John Dorsey decided to put his stamp on the franchise early by acquiring ex-Buffalo Bills quarterback Tyrod Taylor and former Miami Dolphins wideout Jarvis Landry. Dorsey also selected his signal-caller of the future, Baker Mayfield, with the No. 1 pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, while using the rest of his many selections to fill numerous holes throughout the roster.

Considering they have nowhere to go but up, the Browns should improve this year, but if Jackson cannot get this group going, he could very easily be shown the door.

Best of the rest

Koetter, Jackson, Joseph, Gase and Bowles are all sensible selections to potentially lose their jobs, but I’m not quite sure why Lewis is priced so high. Cincinnati owner Mike Brown preached “continuity” in January by bringing back Lewis for a 16th season, yet it’s a questionable decision for a man who’s never managed to win a playoff game in his time with the franchise.

The two-year extension to the bench boss caused groans for Bengals fans who’ve seen their team post back-to-back losing seasons. Lewis has the third-best winning percentage of any Bengals head coach and is clearly viewed in extremely high regard by the front office, so don’t expect them to can him if the Bengals start off slow again.

Koetter’s odds have been on the move in a big way since the prop was released in mid-June. In two months, his chances of being the first coach fired fell from +1200 all the way to +250. The Bucs took a major step back in 2017 in the form of a 5-11 record and are projected to once again finish in the basement of the NFC South. Quarterback Jameis Winston’s three-game suspension for violating the NFL’s personal conduct policy is certainly not going to help matters, either. Koetter, who’s entering his third year with the club, could very likely be gone at some point in the season if things aren’t going well and it’s decided the young squad could use a new voice in the locker room.

Looking for more betting advice on the gridiron? Head over to our NFL page for all of the stats, trends and information you’ll need to put some extra cash in your pocket.

Odds on which NFL coach will be fired first in the 2018 season
Dirk Koetter (Buccaneers)+250
Hue Jackson (Browns)+350
Vance Joseph (Broncos)+650
Adam Gase (Dolphins)+750
Marvin Lewis (Bengals)+1600
Todd Bowles (Jets)+1600
Bill O’Brien (Texans)+2000
Jay Gruden (Redskins)+2800
Frank Reich (Colts)+3300
Jason Garrett (Cowboys)+3300
John Harbaugh (Ravens)+3300
Jon Gruden (Raiders)+3300
Matt Nagy (Bears)+3300
Mike Vrabel (Titans)+3300

Odds as of September 7 at BetWay