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UFC 229: Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov Betting Odds

McGregor vs Khabib UFC Odds

Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is a clash of styles that the sport of MMA was created for. Perhaps the best striker in the game vs the best grappler in the game is a dream fight for UFC fans and Nurmagomedov, the current UFC lightweight champion, is favored to win at -175 with McGregor coming back at +145.

From a promotional standpoint, making the fight is a dream come true for the UFC as it will undoubtedly be one of the most profitable events in their history, and from a betting standpoint, there’s lots of money to be made too. McGregor fans will be foaming at the mouth to place a wager on the Irishman, especially at plus-money, but is that a smart bet vs the 26-0 Nurmagomedov, whose smothering grappling style has been completely unsolvable?

If the amount of betting action McGregor received vs Floyd Mayweather is any indication, some bettors clearly don’t care how he matches up stylistically — after opening at +950 vs Mayweather, McGregor closed at +265 due to an avalanche of bets placed on him. McGregor’s grappling skills are probably in the average range and that’s an area where he’s been taken advantage of before. A much smaller Chad Mendes easily took McGregor to the mat whenever he wanted to at UFC 189 (yes, I know McGregor won the fight), and he was choked out by Nate Diaz at UFC 196.

He does have a significant disadvantage when it comes to wrestling, but there are other areas where McGregor would have a definite upper hand, most notably with his hands. Eighteen of his 21 professional wins have come via T/KO and he has a very impressive hit list that includes finishes of Jose Aldo, Eddie Alvarez, Dustin Poirier and, of course, Paulie Malignaggi (insert smiley face emoji here).

Could McGregor’s mental edge be the difference?

He talks a lot of smack and he participates in some controversial behavior to get in his opponents’ heads (that poor bus), but when it’s time to fight, he backs it up. McGregor has an uncanny ability to build a fight up to unparalleled levels that have made some opponents crumble when the cage door finally closes. He calmly absorbs the self-imposed pressure, but as we’ve seen in the past in title fights with Jose Aldo and Eddie Alvarez, they got completely thrown off their game and were unable to execute when it mattered most.

There’s nothing to indicate McGregor could mentally paralyze Khabib into underperforming, but we didn’t see it coming in those other instances either. Unfortunately for us bettors, the mental part of the sport is hard to predict but it absolutely needs to be considered.

McGregor vs Nurmagomedov To happen At UFC 229

After plenty of speculation, both sides have agreed to meet in the Octagon on October 6 at UFC 229 in Las Vegas. That will be 693 days since McGregor last stepped foot inside the Octagon, as the Notorious One has not fought in the UFC since winning the lightweight title on November 12, 2016. During that same time span, Khabib has fought twice, easily winning decisons over Edson Barboza and Al Iaquinta. 

Here’s our most recent odds for the fight. Who will you be betting on and why? Let us know in the comments section below.

UFC: Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov

Odds as of August 16 at Bovada

  • Conor McGregor +145
  • Khabib Nurmagomedov -175

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